MUMBAI, 29 May 2025: India is poised to become the world’s largest rice producer, overtaking China for the first time in modern history.
This milestone comes on the back of a record-breaking foodgrain output of 353.2 million tonnes (MT) in the 2024–25 crop year (July–June), according to the Ministry of Agriculture's third advance estimates released Wednesday.
Driven by above-normal monsoon rainfall and improved sowing practices, India’s rice production rose by 8% year-on-year to reach 149.07 MT, surpassing China’s projected 145.28 MT as per USDA data. This positions India not just as the world’s largest rice exporter (a title it has held since 2012), but now also the leading rice producer globally.
“Rice, wheat, corn, soybean, and groundnut have all achieved record outputs this year,” said Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan, emphasizing the role of favorable climatic conditions and government support.
Wheat, Pulses, and Oilseeds Also Reach New Highs
India's wheat output rose by 3.7% to 117.5 MT, while pulses production increased by 4% to 25.23 MT. Oilseed production also saw a 7% surge, touching 42.6 MT. Notably, groundnut (11.89 MT) and soybean (15.18 MT) recorded their highest-ever yields, strengthening India’s position in the global oilseeds market.
These gains are attributed largely to favorable southwest monsoon rains, which were recorded at 108% of the long-period average in 2024. The improved rainfall not only boosted kharif sowing — which accounts for 60% of annual foodgrain production — but also enhanced soil moisture for robust rabi crop yields.
Government Sets Higher Target for 2025–26
Buoyed by the performance and strong monsoon forecasts, the government has set an ambitious foodgrain production target of 354.64 MT for the 2025–26 crop year. Officials indicated this figure could be revised upwards if rainfall follows current Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) projections.
Agriculture Sector Strengthens Economic Outlook
Nearly 50% of India’s farmland remains dependent on monsoon rains. A second consecutive year of strong crop output is expected to lift rural incomes, strengthen agri exports, and bolster the nation’s food security.
Analysts say the bumper harvest is likely to boost India’s GDP through agriculture-led growth, reduce inflationary pressure, and stabilize food supply chains amid global market volatility.
Key Highlights: India’s 2024–25 Crop Year
- Total Foodgrain Output: 353.2 MT (+6% YoY)
- Rice Production: 149.07 MT (+8% YoY)
- Wheat Production: 117.5 MT (+3.7% YoY)
- Pulses: 25.23 MT (+4% YoY)
- Oilseeds: 42.6 MT (+7% YoY)
- Groundnut: 11.89 MT (Record High)
- Soybean: 15.18 MT (Record High)
- Monsoon Rainfall: 108% of LPA (Above Normal)
India’s emergence as the world’s top rice producer signals a new era in global agriculture, highlighting the country's strategic role in ensuring global food security, especially amid climate and supply chain disruptions.
Image credit: symborg.com
