The significant growth—38.6 million tonnes higher than the previous season—is largely attributed to improved yields and a modest increase in planted area. CONAB reports an average yield increase of 10 percent, reaching 4.1 tonnes per hectare, with total planted area now at 81.8 million hectares.
“Brazil is set to deliver its largest grain harvest ever, led by soybeans and corn,” CONAB President Edegar Pretto told Valor Econômico.
Soybeans, Brazil’s top export crop, are expected to reach a record 169.6 million tonnes, a 15 percent increase from last year. Corn output is also surging, forecast at 128.3 million tonnes, including 101 million tonnes from the country’s crucial second crop—a 12.2 percent jump from last season.
Weather conditions across key farming states like Mato Grosso, Paraná, and Minas Gerais have been highly favourable, enabling better productivity and early harvests.
Meanwhile, rice production has improved to 12.15 million tonnes, up nearly 15 percent, driven by expanded planting and optimal conditions in Rio Grande do Sul. CONAB announced it will resume government rice purchases this month—for the first time in 14 years—to rebuild stockpiles.
Cotton lint is projected to grow 5.7 percent to 3.8 million tonnes, helped by a 7.1 percent increase in planting area, despite uneven rainfall.
Only beans saw a slight decline—down 60,000 tonnes from the previous forecast to 3.17 million tonnes—yet still sufficient for domestic demand, according to CONAB.
With monthly forecast updates and on-ground surveys, Brazil’s agricultural momentum continues to strengthen, placing the country firmly on track for another record-breaking year.
